Hubris

Hubris is a prediction market designed for traders who want both conviction exposure and strong settlement guarantees. Users trade YES/NO outcomes with leverage, manage margin in real time, and monitor liquidation risk from a live orderbook interface. The product focuses on event markets where transparent pricing and fast execution matter.

The core trust layer is Chainlink CRE workflows for resolution and settlement. At market expiry, the workflow pulls multiple external data sources, computes a deterministic result, and submits a DON-signed outcome for onchain settlement. This gives users an auditable path from offchain evidence to final payout, instead of relying on a centralized operator.

In short: Hubris combines leveraged event trading UX with verifiable, decentralized resolution infrastructure so outcomes are settled by reproducible data + oracle consensus, not discretionary admin actions.

Hubris is built as a perp-style leveraged prediction market deployed on EVM (Sepolia), where off-chain order matching stays fast but the dangerous parts are enforced by smart contracts and Chainlink CRE. Users trade through a Next.js/wagmi UI into an off-chain price-time-priority orderbook; fills update on-chain state in contracts like MarketFactory, PositionManager, and VaultUSDC. Funding, liquidation, and settlement are not backend decisions: five CRE workflows run on a DON and push quorum-signed reports on-chain (via KeystoneForwarder) that contracts verify before applying updates. Liquidation is the centerpiece: the Liquidation + Risk workflow runs on a short cadence, reads on-chain margin and position exposure, pulls benchmark/volatility inputs, determines which accounts breach maintenance margin, and submits a DON-signed liquidation instruction that LiquidationEngine verifies before force-reducing/closing positions and reallocating collateral, making liquidations provable, non-admin, and hard to manipulate; in parallel, an Integrity + Solvency workflow publishes recurring DON-signed Proof-of-Reserve-style solvency attestations (vault collateral vs total notional) that can trigger circuit breakers if the system drifts toward insolvency.