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LocalOracle

Hyperlocal prediction markets, geo-restricted, World ID verified and settled by Chainlink CRE.

CRE & AI Prediction Markets Privacy World

What it is

Every existing prediction market operates at city or country scale, because that is all a single centralized oracle can answer. LocalOracle enables hyperlocal prediction markets, will it rain on Strandvägen today? Will the local market close early? These are geo-restricted to participants within a defined radius and settled autonomously by the Chainlink CRE oracle network.
Users within the geo-fence can place bets. World ID ensures every participant is a verified unique human. When a market deadline passes, the CRE workflow fetches weather data from two independent sources (OpenWeatherMap and WeatherAPI), runs ConsensusAggregationByFields across all DON nodes, and settles the market on-chain. If the two sources disagree, Claude AI is called as a tiebreaker, and again, all DON nodes must return identical Claude verdicts before the result is accepted. A single compromised node cannot swing the outcome.

How it Works

  • Smart contracts: Solidity (PredictionMarket with onReport IReceiver interface) on Sepolia
  • CRE Workflow: TypeScript using HTTPClient (OpenWeatherMap + WeatherAPI), ConsensusAggregationByFields, consensusIdenticalAggregation (Claude tiebreaker), EVMClient, CronCapability
  • Frontend: React + Vite deployed on Vercel
  • Identity: World ID for participant verification
  • Stack: Hardhat, viem, Tailwind CSS

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Created by

  • Max Karlsson