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TrialByFire

Subjective prediction markets resolved by adversarial AI debate, orchestrated by a CRE workflow on the DON.

CRE & AI Prediction Markets Thirdweb

What it is

Traditional prediction markets can only resolve objective questions with clear numeric answers. TrialByFire
 resolves subjective questions — "Is Chainlink's oracle model more decentralized than competitors?", "Should DAOs be
  recognized as legal entities?" — using an adversarial trial system where AI advocates debate both sides and an
 impartial AI judge delivers a verdict.

 How it works: (1) Anyone creates a market with a subjective question, a deadline, and stakes ETH on YES or NO. (2)
 When the deadline passes, a SettlementRequested event fires on-chain. The CRE workflow catches this via Log
 Trigger, runs a condensed adversarial trial through Anthropic's Claude API, and DON nodes reach consensus on the
 verdict using consensusIdenticalAggregation. (3) The CRE workflow writes a cryptographically signed report through
 KeystoneForwarder to the contract's onReport() function, resolving the market. Winners claim proportional payouts.

 The adversarial structure prevents AI bias — the trial prompt forces consideration of both YES and NO perspectives
 before rendering judgment. If confidence is too low, markets escalate and all stakers receive full refunds.

How it Works

Monorepo with four packages: (1) Smart Contract (Solidity 0.8.24) — TrialMarket.sol with CRE onReport(), Chainlink
 Functions fallback, Automation via checkUpkeep/performUpkeep, and Data Feeds for ETH/USD price. (2) CRE Workflow
 (TypeScript) — Log Trigger catches SettlementRequested events, calls Anthropic Claude API for a condensed
 adversarial trial, uses consensusIdenticalAggregation for DON consensus, and writes a signed report via
 evmClient.writeReport(). (3) Engine (TypeScript) — Local fallback pipeline with dynamic AI-powered evidence
 routing, parallel YES/NO advocate debate, judge scoring against rubric criteria, and IPFS transcript storage via
 Pinata. (4) Frontend (React/TypeScript/Vite) — Dashboard with wallet connection (ethers.js v6), market creation,
 staking, outcome display with adversarial debate transcripts, and Chainlink Data Feed price display.

 Stack: Solidity, Hardhat, OpenZeppelin, @chainlink/cre-sdk, Anthropic Claude API, ethers.js v6, React, Vite, Pinata
  IPFS. Deployed on Ethereum Sepolia.

Links

Created by

  • Jeremic Arose